Category Archives: Employment

Unemployment rate 10.1 percent, Gallup report, October 7, 2010, Government report Friday will understate

Unemployment rate 10.1 percent, Gallup report, October 7, 2010, Government report Friday will understate

From Gallup October 7, 2010.

“Unemployment, as measured by Gallup without seasonal adjustment, increased to 10.1% in September — up sharply from 9.3% in August and 8.9% in July. Much of this increase came during the second half of the month — the unemployment rate was 9.4% in mid-September — and therefore is unlikely to be picked up in the government’s unemployment report on Friday.
Certain groups continue to fare worse than the national average. For example, 15.8% of Americans aged 18 to 29 and 13.9% of those with no college education were unemployed in September.

The increase in the unemployment rate component of Gallup’s underemployment measure is partially offset by fewer part-time workers, 8.7%, now wanting full-time work, down from 9.3% in August and 9.5% at the end of July.

As a result, underemployment shows a more modest increase to 18.8% in September from 18.6% in August, though it is up from 18.4% in July. Underemployment peaked at 20.4% in April and has yet to fall below 18.3% this year.
Friday’s Unemployment Rate Report Likely to Understate

The government’s final unemployment report before the midterm elections is based on job market conditions around mid-September. Gallup’s modeling of the unemployment rate is consistent with Tuesday’s ADP report of a decline of 39,000 private-sector jobs, and indicates that the government’s national unemployment rate in September will be in the 9.6% to 9.8% range. This is based on Gallup’s mid-September measurements and the continuing decline Gallup is seeing in the U.S. workforce during 2010.

However, Gallup’s monitoring of job market conditions suggests that there was a sharp increase in the unemployment rate during the last couple of weeks of September. It could be that the anticipated slowdown of the overall economy has potential employers even more cautious about hiring. Some of the increase could also be seasonal or temporary.”

Read more:

http://www.gallup.com/poll/143426/Gallup-Finds-Unemployment-September.aspx

Unemployment facts, Bush tax cuts, Democrat Congress is problem, Socialist President and Congress bigger problem, Citizen Wells open thread, August 25, 2010

Unemployment facts, Bush tax cuts, Democrat Congress is problem, Socialist President and Congress bigger problem

The Bush Tax Cuts were enacted in 2003 with a Republican president and Congress. The Democrats took control of Congress in 2006. Many lies about the economy and unemployment rate have been told, including consistently by Obama. These numbers do not lie.

Historical unemployment rates
Dec-2002 6.0% 
Jan-2003 5.8%  
Feb-2003 5.9%  
Mar-2003 5.9%  
Apr-2003 6.0%  
May-2003 6.1%  
Jun-2003 6.3%  
Jul-2003 6.2%  
Aug-2003 6.1%  
Sep-2003 6.1%  
Oct-2003 6.0%  
Nov-2003 5.8%  
Dec-2003 5.7%  
Jan-2004 5.7%  
Feb-2004 5.6%  
Mar-2004 5.8%  
Apr-2004 5.6%  
May-2004 5.6%  
Jun-2004 5.6%  
Jul-2004 5.5%  
Aug-2004 5.4%  
Sep-2004 5.4%  
Oct-2004 5.5%  
Nov-2004 5.4%  
Dec-2004 5.4%  
Jan-2005 5.3%  
Feb-2005 5.4%  
Mar-2005 5.2%  
Apr-2005 5.2%  
May-2005 5.1%  
Jun-2005 5.0%  
Jul-2005 5.0%  
Aug-2005 4.9%  
Sep-2005 5.0%  
Oct-2005 5.0%  
Nov-2005 5.0%  
Dec-2005 4.9%  
Jan-2006 4.7%  
Feb-2006 4.8%  
Mar-2006 4.7%  
Apr-2006 4.7%  
May-2006 4.6%  
Jun-2006 4.6%  
Jul-2006 4.7%  
Aug-2006 4.7%  
Sep-2006 4.5%  
Oct-2006 4.4%  
Nov-2006 4.5%  
Dec-2006 4.4%  
Jan-2007 4.6%  
Feb-2007 4.5%  
Mar-2007 4.4%  
Apr-2007 4.5%  
May-2007 4.4%  
Jun-2007 4.6%  
Jul-2007 4.6%  
Aug-2007 4.6%  
Sep-2007 4.7%  
Oct-2007 4.7%  
Nov-2007 4.7%  
Dec-2007 5.0%  
Jan-2008 5.0%  
Feb-2008 4.8%  
Mar-2008 5.1%  
Apr-2008 5.0%  
May-2008 5.4%  
Jun-2008 5.5%  
Jul-2008 5.8%  
Aug-2008 6.1%  
Sep-2008 6.2%  
Oct-2008 6.6%  
Nov-2008 6.9%  
Dec-2008 7.4%

Jobless claims report, July 8, 2010, Down?, Seasonally adjusted down, Claims up

Jobless claims report, July 8, 2010, Down?, Seasonally adjusted down, Claims up

The Jobless Claims report was released by the US Labor Dept. this morning. Everyone is reporting, and the stock market is rejoicing, that claims were down. Here are the actual numbers.

“In the week ending July 3, the advance figure for seasonally adjusted initial claims was 454,000, a decrease of 21,000 from the previous week’s revised figure of 475,000.”

“The advance number of actual initial claims under state programs, unadjusted, totaled 463,560 in the week ending July 3, an increase of 22,560 from the previous week. There were 581,145 initial claims in the comparable week in 2009.”

This is nothing to shout about:

“The 4-week moving average was 466,000, a decrease of 1,250 from the previous week’s revised average of 467,250.”

Read more:

https://citizenwells.com/2010/07/08/jobless-claims-july-8-2010-seasonally-adjusted-down-21000-unadjusted-increased-22560/

Hustler in chief, Unemployment rate, Illegal aliens, Economy, Citizen Wells open thread, July 3, 2010

Hustler in chief, Unemployment rate, Illegal aliens, Economy

I suppose you all heard the Hustler in chief speak of the 9.5 % unemployment rate in somewhat glowing terms as improvement. When I heard life long Democrat, civil rights attorney, Bartle Bull refer to Obama as a hustler it resonated with me. I had been refering to Obama for many months as being “street smart.”

Wiretap from Rod Blagojevich trial.
DATE: 11/10/2008
 
TIME:  9:07 A.M.
 
ACTIVITY: Rod Blagojevich home line conference call
 
SESSION:  451

BLAGOJEVICH “Now Patti works. She’s very good at what she does. She’s as qualified as Michelle Obama, if not more qualified. Michelle Obama is getting sixty five grand a year for you know, what was it, Tree House Foods, Patti?”
 
 
QUINLAN “Tree House Foods is what she was on.”
 
P. BLAGOJEVICH “Tree House.”
 
BLAGOJEVICH “Yeah and she’s making 0 grand over at the University of Chicago.”
 
 
BLAGOJEVICH “…where her fath-, her husband’s federal months, federal funds are going there? What?”
 
P. BLAGOJEVICH “Yeah, which of course went up as soon as he got elected to Senate and he was able to get federal funding to University of Chicago. Get this, I think the most…”

Unemployment rate, July 2, 2010, US Labor Dept, June unemployment rate 9.5 percent??, Orwellian algorithm, Fuzzy math, Lies, Real unemployment rate

Unemployment rate, July 2, 2010, US Labor Dept, June unemployment rate 9.5 percent??

“The past is whatever the records and the memories agree upon.
And since the party is in full control of all records, and in
equally full control of the minds of it’s members, it follows
that the past is whatever the party chooses to make it. Six
means eighteen, two plus two equals five, war is peace,
freedom is slavery, ignorance is strength.”…George Orwell, “1984”

I am not a rocket scientist.

However, I started out as a math major, I am from NC, I have an excellent built in BS detector and a pretty good decoder ring.
What kind of “fuzzy math” or Orwellian algorithm is the Federal Government using?

The so called unemployment rate on June 30, 2010 was stated as 9.7%.

On June 30, 2010 we learn

Private employment may have decelerated

On July 1, 2010 we learn

Unemployment claims up 13,000

We know that hundreds of thousands of high school and college graduates entered the job market in May and June of 2010.

Today, July 2, 2010,  we are told this

Unemployment rate 9.5% ??

Now read this opening statement from the US Labor Dept. News Release, July 2, 2010.
“THE EMPLOYMENT SITUATION – JUNE 2010

Total nonfarm payroll employment declined by 125,000 in June, and the unemployment rate edged
down to 9.5 percent, the U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics reported today. The decline in payroll employment
reflected a decrease (-225,000) in the number of temporary employees working on Census 2010.
Private-sector payroll employment edged up by 83,000.”

http://www.bls.gov/news.release/pdf/empsit.pdf

This

Does Not

Compute

US Labor Department, Aids and abets illegal immigration, June 23, 2010, Obama administration, Labor Secretary Hilda Solis, Every worker in America has a right to be paid fairly whether documented or not

US Labor Department, Aids and abets illegal immigration

From The Detroit News June 23, 2010.

“Labor Dept. aids and abets crime of illegal immigration”

“Illegal immigrants in America have long flouted the law. And why not, since it’s seldom enforced.

Expect that to get worse now that the Obama administration is offering its assistance.

That’s right, specifically the Department of Labor. The nation’s top work force agency no longer is simply turning its head as hordes of people break the law and enter the United States each day, it now is offering a helping hand.

“Every worker in America has a right to be paid fairly whether documented or not (emphasis added), ” Labor Secretary Hilda Solis says in a public service announcement posted on the agency’s website. “So call us. It is free and confidential.”
 There it is, folks. Your tax dollars at work.

Solis is not imploring legal workers who are beaten or denied access to water or suffer some other abuse at the hands of an unscrupulous employer to call.

She’s telling illegal immigrants in America — criminals who have crossed the border without regard to our laws, often repeatedly — that if they don’t think they are being paid properly, they can get help from the federal government.

I’m not making this up. Go to the Department of Labor’s website ( http://www.dol.gov/wecanhelp/psa.htm) and watch it for yourself.

Solis is joined in her call by actors Jimmy Smits, Esai Morales and Dolores Huerta, co-founder of the United Farm Workers.

“You work hard and you have the right to be paid every cent of the money you earn,” Morales says in another video. “Our laws protect you whether you’re documented or not.””

“The Labor Department didn’t return calls to explain its position, and when I called the toll-free number that Solis said was “free and confidential” and told the nice woman who answered that I had questions about using tax dollars to produce these videos to help criminals get more money, she asked me a lot of questions about who I was and why I was calling.

Perhaps if I had said I was an illegal immigrant I would have gotten faster answers.”

Read more:

http://www.detnews.com/article/20100623/OPINION03/6230315/1031#

May payroll numbers worse than forecast, Employers in the US hired fewer workers in May, Payrolls rose by 431000, Economists projected a 536000, Stock futures drop

May payroll numbers worse than forecast, Employers in the US hired fewer workers

From Bloomberg June 4, 2010.

“Employers in the U.S. hired fewer workers in May than forecast and Americans dropped out of the labor force, showing a lack of confidence in the recovery that may lead to slower economic growth.

Payrolls rose by 431,000 last month, including a 411,000 jump in government hiring of temporary workers for the 2010 census, Labor Department figures in Washington showed today. Economists projected a 536,000 gain, according to the median forecast in a Bloomberg News survey. Private payrolls rose a less-than-forecast 41,000. The jobless rate fell to 9.7 percent.

Staff reductions at companies such as Hewlett-Packard Co. and Citigroup Inc. indicate a slowing in the labor market that threatens to restrain consumer spending, the biggest part of the economy. Federal Reserve Chairman Ben S. Bernanke said yesterday that unemployment was exacting a heavy toll, showing why economists forecast interest rates will remain low.

“It’s going to be a long haul,” Michael Englund, chief economist at Action Economics LLC in Boulder, Colorado, said before the report. “We really aren’t adding many jobs. We’ve lost some momentum in the economy and final sales clearly aren’t enough to generate job growth.”

Stock-index futures fell and Treasury securities rose after the report. The contract on the Standard & Poor’s 500 Index dropped 2.1 percent to 1,080 at 8:38 a.m. in New York. The 10- year Treasury note rose, pushing down the yield to 3.27 percent from 3.37 percent late yesterday.”

“Payrolls estimates in the Bloomberg survey of 82 economists ranged from 220,000 to 750,000 after a gain of 290,000 jobs in April. Economists surveyed also forecast the jobless rate fell to 9.8 percent last month from 9.9 percent in April. Unemployment reached a 26-year high of 10.1 percent in October. The May figures showed the labor force shrank 322,000.

Federal hiring of temporary workers to conduct the decennial population count probably peaked last month, economists said.

The unwinding of census employment may keep distorting the payroll figures for months as the government dismisses workers when the count is completed. For that reason, economists say private payrolls, which exclude government jobs, will be a better gauge of the state of the labor market for much of 2010.”

Read more:

http://www.bloomberg.com/apps/news?pid=20601087&sid=ax55j3oSwVuI&pos=1

US economy slowdown, Economy cooling, Financial markets, Corporate forecasts, Soft retail sales, Rise in jobless claims

US economy slowdown, Economy cooling, Financial markets, Corporate forecasts

From Daily Finance May 22, 2010.

“Forget Europe: Signs of a Slowdown in the U.S.”
“Financial markets around the world are fixated on Europe as it grapples with its debt woes. Though probably overdone, investor paranoia is understandable. The fallout for the global economy would be massive if things spiraled out of control, unlikely as that may seem for the moment.

While potentially catastrophic developments overseas may be captivating, investors would do well to stay focused on more subtle developments in the U.S. Much of Wall Street remains bullish on the prospects of an economic recovery, but some signs suggest that a slowdown may be materializing nonetheless.

Watch Corporate Guidance and Economic Indicators

Hosted software provider Salesforce.com (CRM) is the latest company to report strong results for the first quarter but provide a forecast that couldn’t live up to Wall Street’s expectations. On Thursday, the company said it expected earnings per share of between $1.13 and $1.15 for the full year. That was well below the $1.28 analysts had forecast, and shares tumbled in trading after hours.

The results from Salesforce.com mirror those of networking giant Cisco (CSCO) last week. While Cisco delivered a strong first quarter, shares were initially hammered based on a lackluster outlook for the rest of the year. Hardware giant Dell (DELL) also came under fire as concerns about its ability to maintain profits grew despite solid results for the first quarter.

A slew of retailers including Lowe’s (LOW), Home Depot (HD) and Wal-Mart (WMT) have also provided skimpy guidance for the rest of the year. And while companies may well be trying to game Wall Street by setting the bar low only to dazzle later, recent economic data suggests that the economy could also be slowing after a sharp rebound in demand from depressed lows.

A set of closely watched indicators released Thursday by the Conference Board showed that the economy may be cooling as it heads into the second half of the year. Those findings echo leading indicators monitored by the Economic Cycle Research Institute, which noted that “the pace of improvement in the overall economy is set to slacken in the months ahead” as measures fell to a 40-week low.

Soft retail sales and a sudden rise in jobless claims have contributed to the darkening picture.”

Read more:

http://www.dailyfinance.com/story/investing/forget-europe-signs-of-a-slowdown-in-the-u-s/19487132/

Stocks dive, Futures dive, Jobless claims up, Unemployment Debt Foreign Economies, This ain’t rocket science

Stocks dive, Futures dive, Jobless claims up, Unemployment Debt Foreign Economies

From the Chicago Tribune May 20, 2010.

“Stocks take hard tumble
376-point drop puts major indexes at a loss for year”

“The stock market had its worst day in more than year Thursday, with the Dow industrials tumbling more than 376 points, as fear intensified that a debt crisis in Europe could jeopardize the global economic recovery.

The sell-off put the major U.S. stock indexes, including the Dow, in the red for the year and down more than 10 percent in less than four weeks, the market’s sharpest retreat since March 2009, when prices bottomed at 12-year lows.

Analysts said there was no dramatic news to explain the day’s declines, including the largest one-day point drop in the Dow since February 2009. And despite the fiscal problems of Greece and other European countries, most forecasters predict the U.S. economy will continue the moderate recovery it began last year.

But mixed signals coming from across the Atlantic about the ability and willingness of leaders there to manage the crisis has made U.S. investors anxious.

As a result, volatility in the stock market has increased sharply of late. Thursday’s drop was the 13th time in the last 18 sessions that the Dow has had a triple-digit move.”

“The crash appears to have damaged the psyche of some individual investors just as they were beginning to regain confidence in stocks after the deep bear market of 2007-09.

“People are more nervous than they would have been, say, three years ago, with this sort of decline because they’re picturing what they went through in 2008,” said Mark Wilson, a financial planner at the Tarbox Group. “The basic question is: ‘Are we going right back to where we started from? Should we be getting out now in anticipation of going back to those 2008 levels?'”

Wilson said he was cautioning clients not to overreact, pointing out that 10 percent declines, known as corrections, that merely interrupt longer bull markets are normal.

Nonetheless, in the week that began the day of the crash, individual investors pulled $14 billion from mutual funds, the first such net withdrawal since March 2009.”

“The outlook was not helped by two discouraging pieces of news about the American economy.

The Labor Department said initial claims for unemployment benefits unexpectedly rose 25,000 last week, to 471,000. Meanwhile, The Conference Board, a private research group, reported its index of leading economic indicators fell 0.1 percent in April, its first decline since March 2009.”

Read more:

http://www.chicagotribune.com/business/feed/sc-biz-0521-markets–20100520,0,4858776.story?page=1

Bull Market?

I don’t see it.
Glenn Beck has done a good job of covering the US debt situation, our jeopardy of losing our borrowing rating,  out of control spending and the impact it is having on our economy and future generations.

What is happening in the stock market is no mystery. Out of control government spending, anti business, anti jobs growth policies are exacerbating an already gloomy economy and job market. Overlay that with financial crisis in Greece, Europe and pessimism in China and you have a recipe for a stock market retreat.

I do  not have a crystal ball. However, the November elections can do more than saving this country from ruin. Removing many jackasses will restore confidence in financial markets and alllow Congress to control spending and create jobs.

Let’s roll.

Jobless claims rise 25000, May 20, 2010, US Dept of Labor report, Initial claims was 471000

Jobless claims rise 25000, May 20, 2010, US Dept of Labor report

From the US Dept of Labor, May 20, 2010.

“UNEMPLOYMENT INSURANCE WEEKLY CLAIMS REPORT

          SEASONALLY ADJUSTED DATA

In the week ending May 15, the advance figure for seasonally adjusted initial claims was 471,000, an increase of 25,000 from the previous week’s revised figure of 446,000. The 4-week moving average was 453,500, an increase of 3,000 from the previous week’s unrevised average of 450,500.

The advance seasonally adjusted insured unemployment rate was 3.6 percent for the week ending May 8, unchanged from the prior week’s unrevised rate of 3.6 percent.

The advance number for seasonally adjusted insured unemployment during the week ending May 8 was 4,625,000, a decrease of 40,000 from the preceding week’s revised level of 4,665,000. The 4-week moving average was 4,642,500, a decrease of 9,500 from the preceding week’s revised average of 4,652,000.

The fiscal year-to-date average of seasonally adjusted weekly insured unemployment, which corresponds to the appropriated AWIU trigger, was 5.146 million. ”

Read more:

http://www.dol.gov/opa/media/press/eta/ui/eta20100682.htm