Tag Archives: Labor force participation rate

Markets rise on flawed data, ADP BLS Market Watch reports, Stated unemployment rate, Labor force participation rate, Part time work, Food stamps tell all

Markets rise on flawed data, ADP BLS Market Watch reports, Stated unemployment rate, Labor force participation rate, Part time work, Food stamps tell all

“With a 63.7% labor force participation, “conditions in the labor market are considerably worse than indicated” in July’s report”…economist Joshua Shapiro, WSJ August 3, 2012

“Since the Democrats took control of both houses of congress in January 2007, the number of people who could only find part time work has gone up 215 percent”…Citizen Wells

“Freedom is the freedom to say that two plus two make four. If that is granted, all else follows.”…George Orwell, “1984″

 

 

I have been reviewing employment data from ADP, BLS and a Market Watch report this morning. The stated unemployment rate, as most of you know, does not factor in the people who have dropped out of the work force and 2.8 percent have dropped out since Obama took office.

It also does not factor in the large increases in people who could only find part time work due to the economy and impact of Obamacare.

The ADP report of private sector jobs added does not match the BLS report. The Market Watch report echoes the BLS report and misrepresents the true unemployment rate:

“The acceleration in hiring nudged the unemployment rate down to 7.5% from 7.6% in March. That’s the lowest level since December 2008, the month before President Obama took office.”

The stock market has responded positively to this unrealistic data, much as it has this year.

I do not know how long the markets can be buoyed on false data, but numbers don’t lie.

20 percent, 1 in 5 Americans are on food stamps.

More details to come.

NC unemployment rate 9.7 percent for August 2012, Increase over July, Biggest increase in government jobs, Labor force participation rate?

NC unemployment rate 9.7 percent for August 2012, Increase over July, Biggest increase in government jobs, Labor force participation rate?

“Guilford (Large NC County) appears on it’s way to a third consecutive year with annual jobless rates in double digits. Economists say that likely hasn’t happened since the Great Depression.”…Greensboro News Record December 2, 2011

“With a 63.7% labor force participation, “conditions in the labor market are considerably worse than indicated” in July’s report”…economist Joshua Shapiro, WSJ August 3, 2012

“We tried our plan—and it worked. That’s the difference. That’s the choice in this election. That’s why I’m running for a second term.”…Barack Obama

From the NC Department of Commerce September 21, 2012.

“North Carolina’s seasonally adjusted unemployment rate increased 0.1 of a percentage point in August to 9.7 percent. The national rate declined 0.2 of a percentage point to 8.1 percent. North Carolina’s August 2012 unemployment rate is 1.0 percentage point lower than a year ago.

“Looking at the data long-term, North Carolina has added nearly 98,000 nonfarm jobs since January 2010,” said N.C. Department of Commerce Deputy Secretary Dale Carroll. “Our workforce partners and our employment
service offices across our state are committed to helping employers put citizens back to work in North Carolina.”

Seasonally adjusted Total Nonfarm industry employment, as gathered through the monthly establishment survey, increased by 1,100 to 3,953,400 in August. The major industry with the largest over-the-month increase was Government, which gained 8,400.”

http://www.ncesc1.com/PMI/Rates/PressReleases/State/NR_Aug_2012_StRate_M.pdf

I will report on the Labor Force Participation rate in NC soon.

The unemployment data by county in NC will be released next week.

NC unemployment rate June 15, 2012, May rate 9.4, Dropping rates due to people leaving workforce, Labor force participation rate, Charlotte Observer

NC unemployment rate June 15, 2012, May rate 9.4, Dropping rates due to people leaving workforce, Labor force participation rate, Charlotte Observer

“The United States economy has lost more jobs than it has added since the recovery began over a year ago.”…NY Times Sept. 20, 2010.

“Guilford (Large NC County) appears on it’s way to a third consecutive year with annual jobless rates in double digits. Economists say that likely hasn’t happened since the Great Depression.”…Greensboro News Record December 2, 2011

“the Times of the nineteenth of December had published the official forecasts of the output of various classes of consumption goods in the fourth quarter of 1983, which was also the sixth quarter of the Ninth Three-Year Plan. Today’s issue contained a statement of the actual output, from which it appeared that the forecasts were in every instance grossly wrong. Winston’s job was to rectify the original figures by making them agree with the later ones.”…George Orwell, “1984″

Just in 10:01 AM, the May NC unemployment rate remained at 9.4 %.

The NC unemployment rate for May will be released in a few minutes. The dropping rate in NC and the nation has been largely due to the Labor Force Participation rate falling to historical lows. That is, droves of people leaving the work force.

I was pleased to see the Charlotte Observer reporting the facts from the AP.

From the Charlotte Observer June 15, 2012.

“NC unemployment rate for May to be released”

“RALEIGH, N.C. North Carolina’s unemployment rate is being released.

The state Division of Employment Security is scheduled to release the rate for May on Friday. The rate dropped to 9.4 percent in April, down from 9.7 a month earlier. But the main reason for the drop was the number of people leaving the workforce.

Only 1,400 more people had jobs in April. More than 11,000 people left the labor force in April compared to May, the figures show. More than 21,000 people had joined the North Carolina labor force since April a year ago.

North Carolina’s unemployment was higher than the national rate, which fell slightly to 8.1 percent in April.”

http://www.charlotteobserver.com/2012/06/15/3319162/nc-unemployment-rate-for-may-to.html