Unemployment rate lies exagerations, Obama lies, 315000 Americans left the labor force, Worst jobless figures since Great Depression in NC
“Guilford (Large NC County) appears on it’s way to a third consecutive year with annual jobless rates in double digits. Economists say that likely hasn’t happened since the Great Depression.”…Greensboro News Record December 2, 2011
“the Times of the nineteenth of December had published the official forecasts of the output of various classes of consumption goods in the fourth quarter of 1983, which was also the sixth quarter of the Ninth Three-Year Plan. Today’s issue contained a statement of the actual output, from which it appeared that the forecasts were in every instance grossly wrong. Winston’s job was to rectify the original figures by making them agree with the later ones.”…George Orwell, “1984”
From Gallup November 17, 2011.
“U.S. Unemployment Ticks Up in Mid-November
Underemployment is at 18.2%, with 9.7% working part time but seeking full-time jobs
by Dennis Jacobe, Chief EconomistPRINCETON, NJ — Unemployment, as measured by Gallup without seasonal adjustment, is 8.5% in mid-November — up from 8.3% in mid-October, but down significantly from 9.2% in mid-November 2010. Gallup’s mid-month unemployment measure suggests the government is likely to report no change in its seasonally adjusted unemployment rate for November 2011.
An additional 9.7% of U.S. employees work part time but want full-time work, up from 9.2% in mid-October. The current reading is significantly higher than the 8.5% of mid-November 2010.
Underemployment, a measure that combines the percentage of workers who are unemployed with the percentage working part time but wanting full-time work, is 18.2% — up from 17.5% a month ago. Underemployment stood at 17.7% in mid-November 2010.
Implications
Gallup’s analysis suggests that the deterioration in November unemployment is essentially the result of seasonal factors. In turn, this implies the government is likely to report on the first Friday in December that there was no change in the U.S. unemployment rate for November.”
http://www.gallup.com/poll/150794/unemployment-ticks-mid-november.aspx
From the US Labor Department December 2, 2011.
“The unemployment rate fell by 0.4 percentage point to 8.6 percent in November, and nonfarm payroll employment rose by 120,000, the U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics reported today. Employment continued to trend up in retail trade, leisure and hospitality, professional and business services, and health care. Government employment continued to trend down.”
“Household Survey Data
In November, the unemployment rate declined by 0.4 percentage point to 8.6 percent. From April through October, the rate held in a narrow range from 9.0 to 9.2 percent. The number of unemployed persons, at 13.3 million, was down by 594,000 in November. The labor force, which is the sum of the unemployed and employed, was down by a little more than half that amount.”
http://www.bls.gov/news.release/empsit.nr0.htm
From Bloomberg December 3, 2011.
“Household Survey
The unemployment rate, derived from a separate survey of households, was forecast to hold at 9 percent. The decrease in the jobless rate reflected a 278,000 gain in employment at the same time 315,000 Americans left the labor force.
“While the rate is certainly a very favorable rate, I would highlight that a lot of it is because people pulled out of the workforce,” Eric Rosengren, president of the Federal Reserve Bank of Boston, said in a speech yesterday.”
http://www.bloomberg.com/news/2011-12-03/payroll-gains-improve-as-u-s-unemployment-rate-drops-economy.html
From Rush Limbaugh December 2, 2011.
“Regime Manipulates Numbers to Get Unemployment Headline Under 9%”
“BEGIN TRANSCRIPT
RUSH: I don’t want to be an I told you so, but I told you so, and I told you so five weeks ago. Gallup, every week, puts out their own unemployment numbers and Gallup has been signaling that this day unemployment below 9% was coming. They’ve been blatantly saying so, based on their own unemployment data, which is not related to the Bureau of Labor Statistics reports. It’s their own surveys; and in the last five weeks, occasionally they will say that their numbers that they come out with on a Wednesday or Thursday indicate that we’re getting very close to a Bureau of Labor Statistics unemployment number of under 9%. I said, “The regime needs this, and when we finally get to under 9%, it will be eight-point-something, but the point-what won’t matter. The only number that’s going to matter is the eight.
“It could be 8.9; it won’t be 8.9, it will be ‘8.’” Well, it’s 8.6, but it doesn’t matter, it’s eight; and predictably, the media’s all over it, and that’s the headline. You know, I got up this morning and I did the show prep routine and one of the first places I always go is Drudge and I saw it right there in red, and it’s 8.6, and that’s all it said, and I knew what it was. It’s Friday, and I didn’t need to know anything else. I knew that was the unemployment number, 8.6, and that’s all anybody else is gonna hear. They’re not gonna dig deep and find out how it happened. Some people have, some people are. There’s a slight bit of reservation in certain sectors of the Drive-By Media. But most of the Drive-By Media is doing hosannas and hallelujah and merry…
Well, Happy Holidays. They don’t do Merry Christmas in the media. But we’re back, it’s done, they got the headline: “Unemployment, 8.6%!” Now, the truth of the matter is — and Bloomberg News even points out that the only way — it’s a corrupt number. It is a corrupt number. Folks, the number of people who have quit looking for work in the last few weeks is 315,000. Those are the people have thrown up their hands after 99 weeks or more of being unemployed; and they’ve said, “I’m quitting. I’m not looking.” So they’re not counted. Therefore, the universe of jobs available in the country is down by 315,000. That is the labor force participation rate. The labor force participation rate is a meager 64%. It fell to 64% from 64.2%. So the 0.2% drop equals 315,000 people leaving the workforce.
That means there are 315,000 fewer jobs to have, so the universe of jobs has been steadily shrinking. What was the number of jobs created? It’s 120,000 jobs. It’s 120, 126,000, whatever. That’s in the ballpark. That number of jobs created can lower unemployment rate 0.4%, almost one half of a percent? Creating 120,000 new jobs can do that? That alone tells us how small the labor force participation rate is. That tells us how small the universe of available jobs in the country is, when creating 120,000 — and we still have, don’t forget, over 400,000 applications for unemployment compensation reported yesterday. So just 120,000 new jobs can lower the unemployment rate almost a half a point. That’s not possible without that 315,000 figure, the 315,000 people who have just walked away.
Bloomberg News is even reporting this means that more people left the workforce than got jobs. Now, stop and think of this. More people left the workforce than got jobs, and the unemployment rate goes down? We’re dealing here with a serious form of corruption, manipulation of data; but, we all knew it was coming. After all, we’re talking about the regime. We knew this was coming. We know the fact, we know the histoire, that no president’s been reelected with an unemployment rate higher than 8%. So here we are 11 months away from the next election, voila! Heading into the Christmas, slash, holiday season, and we’re at 8.6%, the 0.6 doesn’t matter, we’re at 8%. And the media is having orgasms out there, O-gasms.
But everybody in the country knows the economy is not growing, that new jobs are not being created a massive, robust way that signals, or feels like economic growth. But the sad thing is that all these details that I have provided — probably, sadly — won’t even matter because the regime has gotten the headline that it wanted. It got 8.6. The regime got unemployment 8.6%. That’s what they wanted; that’s what they got. All these other details are irrelevant. Now, this is the U3 unemployment rate. The U6 unemployment rate counts the 315,000. The U3 is a government marker. U3 is what is reported. The U6 unemployment number counts the 315,000 who have given up looking for a gig. The U6 unemployment number is around 16, 17% — and that’s real unemployment.
The job universe from January 2009 when Obama was immaculated to the present is down about 2.5 million jobs. There are 2.5 million fewer jobs in our country in the two and a half, almost three years now that Obama has been in orifice — and that’s the dirty little secret. You shrink the workforce by two, 2.5 million people is the only way you can report the unemployment rate going down. More people leave the workforce than found jobs, and the unemployment rate went down a half a point. So again we are being massaged, we are being spun, we are being inundated with corrupt numbers, but it was all predictable, all understandable. Again, so small has the employment universe become — so small, so many people having dropped out of the system altogether…
No longer counted, is what that means, as being unemployed. No longer counted as being alive in terms of the Bureau of Labor Statistics. When you quit looking for a job, you’re only counted in that U6 number, which is not the one that’s reported. The U3 number is. So you drop out of the system altogether, you’re no longer counted by the Obama regime. A mere 126,000 job increase drops unemployment rate almost one half of a percentage point. This is nothing more than the government manipulating the real work situation that exists in the country. It’s all calculated to create a false impression of economic recovery and a healthier job market. It’s truly outrageous — and watch how the Obama media cronies regurgitate this propaganda for the most part. Watch how they’ll all fall in line. You’ve probably heard it already this morning. I have examples of it here in the sound bite roster, but I don’t… Ah, I’ll probably play a couple of them just for the fun of it.”
Read more:
http://www.rushlimbaugh.com/daily/2011/12/02/regime_manipulates_numbers_to_get_unemployment_headline_under_9
Austan Goolsbee Obama chief economic adviser leaving, Citizen Wells commenters on small business problems, Obama economic failures
Austan Goolsbee Obama chief economic adviser leaving, Citizen Wells commenters on small business problems, Obama economic failures
“the Times of the nineteenth of December had published the official forecasts of the output of various classes of consumption goods in the fourth quarter of 1983, which was also the sixth quarter of the Ninth Three-Year Plan. Today’s issue contained a statement of the actual output, from which it appeared that the forecasts were in every instance grossly wrong. Winston’s job was to rectify the original figures by making them agree with the later ones.”…George Orwell, “1984″
“Another liberal economic nut ‘quits’ his job to go back to teaching, because the economy isn’t better. This is nothing more than a manager firing his advisors because he made a horrible decision, based upon his beliefs and their recommendations. Sadly, it’s not like these ‘economic advisors’ get held accountable for poor decision making process and economic policies. No, they get to go back to their ‘teaching jobs’ so they can tell students how great they are and how it was all somebody else’s fault.”…commenter pete
“It’s easy to see why some businesses hire undocumented workers to avoid the tax burden. Or worse yet they just pick up stakes and move out of the country.
And now obamacare will tax us more? Our government’s over taxation and interference has caused small businesses to be reluctant to hire more employees. Under the Obama regime we’ll see businesses leaving the country droves. It is no wonder that our country’s economy is on a downward spiral”….commenter Jonah
Reported on Citizen Wells this morning.
“Most of the key economic indicators have worsened recently, the unemployment rate is back over 9 percent and there is increasing mention of the spectre of a depression.
From the Chicago Tribune June 6, 2011.
“Top Obama economic adviser, Austan Goolsbee, will quit to return to University of Chicago”
“Austan Goolsbee, President Barack Obama’s chief economic adviser, is leaving the administration and returning to the University of Chicago Booth School of Business to teach.
The announcement from the White House late Monday comes at a time when the U.S. unemployment rate is back above 9 percent, speculation is growing that the nation may be at risk of dipping back into a recession and amid intense political debate over whether to extend the nation’s debt ceiling,
Goolsbee began advising Obama before his election as president and has become the administration’s chief public spokesman on the economy. He has headed the White House Council of Economic Advisers for the past nine months. On ABC’s “This Week” program Sunday, Goolsbee emphasized that the administration had made progress on employment since the depths of the Great Recession and said “don’t make too much of any one jobs report.”
May’s unemployment rate, released last week, climbed to 9.1 percent. The stock market has been sliding recently on concerns about a slowing economy in the U.S. and globally.
Obama said in a statement, “Since I first ran for the U.S. Senate, Austan has been a close friend and one of my most trusted advisers. Over the past several years, he has helped steer our country out of the worst economic crisis since the Great Depression.”””
The following comments placed on that article are worthy of publishing:
Commenter pete:
CW,
Do you think that anyone has seen through the game. Another liberal economic nut ‘quits’ his job to go back to teaching, because the economy isn’t better. This is nothing more than a manager firing his advisors because he made a horrible decision, based upon his beliefs and their recommendations. Sadly, it’s not like these ‘economic advisors’ get held accountable for poor decision making process and economic policies. No, they get to go back to their ‘teaching jobs’ so they can tell students how great they are and how it was all somebody else’s fault.
From a small business perspective the problems are easy to see. Foremost, you have a bunch of idiots making the hiring of new employees and economic growth very risky. Obamacare, new regulations, unable to get loans and credit, inflation of goods costs, and bear marketplace all conspire to strike fear into employers. Second, customers are AFRAID. About 1/3 of americans see the Constitution (and rule of law) evaporating before their eyes for the first time in history, and they fear for the future. About 1/3 of Customers are oblivious to the politics, but have no jobs or real income and are underwater on their houses. About 1/3 are starting to believe that the government could default on SS and Medicare/Caid, as well as other entitlements which they are dependent upon. These factors lead to a loss of Consumer Confidence, and fewer and fewer exchanges, jobs, and tax revenue. By the way, even IF you succeed now, and make more than 250k in a year, create jobs, and help your local community, you will be saddled with 71% income tax next year. REALLY! 71%, you might as well make less and smell the roses, send some of your employees home.
What I’m trying to say, while out in the trenches of the small business world, is that Jimmy Carter II on Steroids, Barack Obama (or whatever his/her name is) is bad for small business. Small Business is the engine that runs the American Economy, and it hurting. The government bailouts…..none was targeted to growth of small business or small industry. The new regs and obamacare attack all industry , but are especially hard for small business to cope with because of limited resources.
Ronald Reagan understood america and small business contribution. His economics weren’t trickle down as much as they were designed to help the middle class businessman, the Job creator, to succeed. Obama economics are pumping trillions to the Bankers and the GM/GE of the world, which is truly a trickle down economics. Worse yet, that money just ends up overseas in the ‘global economy’ with job creation elsewhere.
Obama’s economics have struck at the heart of America by removing MIDDLE CLASS JOBS and therefore, the middle class. The liberals, whom pride themselves supposedly helping the poor and middle class, are hypocrites, as their policies actually make it worse for these people by depriving them of needed small business jobs and manufacturing. While people will start to get used to the ‘new economy’ of 8-12% unemployement, the government is going to run out of ‘other peoples money’ soon, and the other shoe is going to drop.
What I written above I believe with my very core, and since it is critical of Obama and his Fascist/Elitist policies, I suppose that makes me a racist. I have sensed an increase in attacks from the left wing nuts as the reality falls upon them that the ‘annointed one’ and his cronies are a lot of hot air and not of true real life tested ideas. Just like socialism I might add, lots of ‘utopia promised’ followed by lots of misery and failure.
Keyensian ecomomics doesn’t work when you don’t have a base of production and small business. Keyensian economics doesn’t work when the Government is not a moderator, but becomes the unchecked new predator (competing for business resources) in a delicate system of customer and business. The ‘brilliant’ economists that have ‘quit’ the Obama economic team obviously not as smart as they thought they were….perhaps we should call Obama’s Economics the ‘Audacity of Arrogance with Ignorance implemented with Inexperience’.
Sorry, done ranting for the morning, I gotta go back to work to try to keep my employees with jobs and pay for other peoples mortages.
Pete”
Commenter Jonah:
“Pete,
Our family has owned a business for almost 40 years. I started paying the bills for the business about 7 years ago and I was alarmed to learn the cost to run a business.
OUR SMALL BUSINESSES PAYS:
FEDERAL INCOME TAX
STATE INCOME TAX
FEDERAL UNEMPLOYMENT TAX
STATE UNEMPLOYMENT TAX
7% SOCIAL SECURITY TAX FOR EMPLOYEES
(this is in addition to the 7% the employee gives the government)
PROPERTY TAX
PERSONAL PROPERTY TAX
UTILITY TAXES ON GAS, ELECTRIC, AND PHONE
GASOLINE TAX
SALES TAX TO THE STATE FOR EVERYTHING WE SELL
APROXIMATELY 7% SALES TAX ON EVERYTHING WE BUY
PLUS WE PAY
MEDICAL INSURANCE
AUTO INSURANCE
PROPERTY INSURANCE
LIABILITY INSURANCE
WORKMAN’S COMP
VARIOUS LICENSES AND PERMITS
I’m sure I’ve forgotten a few things.
THE GOVERNMENT GETS MORE OF OUR MONEY THAN WE DO!
It’s easy to see why some businesses hire undocumented workers to avoid the tax burden. Or worse yet they just pick up stakes and move out of the country.
And now obamacare will tax us more? Our government’s over taxation and interference has caused small businesses to be reluctant to hire more employees. Under the Obama regime we’ll see businesses leaving the country droves. It is no wonder that our country’s economy is on a downward spiral.”
42 Comments
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Tagged Austan Goolsbee Obama chief economic adviser leaving, Citizen Wells commenters on small business problems, Obama economic failures