Monthly US Labor Dept. jobs data not matching employment, Where are Donald Trump Rush Limbaugh Sean Hannity??, 6 month comparison reveals total employment only up 639k, White employment down 155k, Financial markets react to flawed monthly data

Monthly US Labor Dept. jobs data not matching employment, Where are Donald Trump Rush Limbaugh Sean Hannity??, 6 month comparison reveals total employment only up 639k, White employment down 155k, Financial markets react to flawed monthly data

“There’s no other way to say this. The official unemployment rate, which cruelly overlooks the suffering of the long-term and often permanently unemployed as well as the depressingly underemployed, amounts to a Big Lie.”…Gallup CEO Jim Clifton 

“But actually, he thought as he re-adjusted the Ministry of Plenty’s figures, it was not even forgery. It was merely the substitution of one piece of nonsense for another. Most of the material that you were dealing with had no connexion with anything in the real world, not even the kind of connexion that is contained in a direct lie. Statistics were just as much a fantasy in their original version as in their rectified version. A great deal of the time you were expected to make them up out of your head. For example, the Ministry of Plenty’s forecast had estimated the output of boots for the quarter at one-hundred-and-forty-five million pairs. The actual output was given as sixty-two millions. Winston, however, in rewriting the forecast, marked the figure down to fifty-seven millions, so as to allow for the usual claim that the quota had been overfulfilled. In any case, sixty-two millions was no nearer the truth than fifty-seven millions, or than one-hundred-and-forty-five millions. Very likely no boots had been produced at all. Likelier still, nobody knew how many had been produced, much less cared. All one knew was that every quarter astronomical numbers of boots were produced on paper, while perhaps half the population of Oceania went barefoot. And so it was with every class of recorded fact, great or small. Everything faded away into a shadow-world in which, finally, even the date of the year had become uncertain.”…George Orwell “1984″

“We are being lied to on a scale unimaginable by George Orwell.”…Citizen Wells

 

 

Why are the financial markets reacting to flawed monthly data from the US Labor Dept. instead of employment trends over several or more months from the same source?

Why is the media, including conservative media, regurgitating the monthly fictional jobs data as if it were the gospel truth?

Where are Donald Trump, Rush Limbaugh, Sean Hannity and others on this Orwellian misportrayal of reality?

Most of us paying attention know that the monthly jobs data from the US Labor Dept. does not reflect reality.

We know this from the enormous numbers of people who have dropped out of the labor force, economic indicators and hunger around us.

We also know this because of the record number of millenials and other age groups who have been forced to live with family and friends.

Let’s examine the latest jobs report.

“Total nonfarm payroll employment increased by 215,000 in July, and the unemployment rate was unchanged at 5.3 percent, the U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics reported today.”

http://www.bls.gov/news.release/empsit.nr0.htm

For the rest of the data we will access the same US Labor Dept. Historical tables.

Change from June to July:

Total employed + 101,000

White – 62,000 (you read that right, minus)

Black + 33,000

Asian + 21,000

Hispanic – 27,000

See anything wrong with that?

215,000 jobs added???

It gets worse.

Change from January to July:

Regardless of which revision to the monthly jobs report that you use, if you add up the mythical jobs added from February to July 2015 you get well over 1.2 million.

How does this square with the employment changes from the US Labor Dept?

Total employed + 639,000

White – 155,000 (you read that right, minus)

Black + 463,000

Asian + 211,000

Hispanic + 69,000

See any problems there?

The financial markets, the Fed are making decisions based on the flawed monthly data and it keeps getting reported.

People on this site often ask what can I do.

My answer: help get the word out, help counteract the Orwellian lies we are constantly being bombarded with.

From the US Labor Department on how they conjure up these numbers.

“1. Why are there two monthly measures of employment?

The household survey and establishment survey both produce sample-based estimates of employment, and both have strengths and limitations. The establishment survey employment series has a smaller margin of error on the measurement of month-to-month change than the household survey because of its much larger sample size. An over-the-month employment change of about
100,000 is statistically significant in the establishment survey, while the threshold for a statistically significant change in the household survey is about 400,000. However, the household survey has a more expansive scope than the establishment survey because it includes self-employed workers whose businesses are unincorporated, unpaid family workers, agricultural workers, and private household workers, who are excluded by the establishment survey. The household survey also provides estimates of employment for demographic groups.”

“5. Does the establishment survey account for employment from new businesses?

Yes; monthly establishment survey estimates include an adjustment to account for the net employment change generated by business births and deaths. The adjustment comes from an econometric model that forecasts the monthly net jobs impact of business births and deaths based on the actual past values of the net impact that can be observed with a lag from the Quarterly Census of Employment and Wages. The establishment survey uses modeling rather than sampling for this purpose because the survey is not immediately able to bring new businesses into the sample. There is an unavoidable lag between the birth of a new firm and its appearance on the sampling frame and availability for selection. BLS adds new businesses to the survey twice a year.”

“Reliability of the estimates

Statistics based on the household and establishment
surveys are subject to both sampling and nonsampling error.
When a sample, rather than the entire population, is
surveyed, there is a chance that the sample estimates may
differ from the true population values they represent. The
component of this difference that occurs because samples
differ by chance is known as sampling error, and its
variability is measured by the standard error of the estimate.
There is about a 90-percent chance, or level of confidence,
that an estimate based on a sample will differ by no more
than 1.6 standard errors from the true population value
because of sampling error. BLS analyses are generally
conducted at the 90-percent level of confidence.

For example, the confidence interval for the monthly
change in total nonfarm employment from the establishment
survey is on the order of plus or minus 105,000. Suppose the
estimate of nonfarm employment increases by 50,000 from
one month to the next. The 90-percent confidence interval on
the monthly change would range from -55,000 to +155,000
(50,000 +/- 105,000). These figures do not mean that the
sample results are off by these magnitudes, but rather that
there is about a 90-percent chance that the true over-themonth
change lies within this interval. Since this range
includes values of less than zero, we could not say with
confidence that nonfarm employment had, in fact, increased
that month. If, however, the reported nonfarm employment
rise was 250,000, then all of the values within the 90-percent
confidence interval would be greater than zero. In this case,
it is likely (at least a 90-percent chance) that nonfarm
employment had, in fact, risen that month. At an
unemployment rate of around 6.0 percent, the 90-percent
confidence interval for the monthly change in unemployment
as measured by the household survey is about +/- 300,000,
and for the monthly change in the unemployment rate it is
about +/- 0.2 percentage point.”

http://www.bls.gov/news.release/pdf/empsit.pdf

 

 

 

 

 

 

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35 responses to “Monthly US Labor Dept. jobs data not matching employment, Where are Donald Trump Rush Limbaugh Sean Hannity??, 6 month comparison reveals total employment only up 639k, White employment down 155k, Financial markets react to flawed monthly data

  1. citizenwells

    “the Times of the nineteenth of December had published the official forecasts of the output of various classes of consumption goods in the fourth quarter of 1983, which was also the sixth quarter of the Ninth Three-Year Plan. Today’s issue contained a statement of the actual output, from which it appeared that the forecasts were in every instance grossly wrong. Winston’s job was to rectify the original figures by making them agree with the later ones.”…George Orwell, “1984”

  2. CW…….
    ……it would appear that somebody should be reciting the little poem LIAR LIAR PANTS ON FIRE! This has become the best representative words for our present ALLEGED regime. Then all of our less informed Americans swallow every ounce of the manure. Somehow we need to show those folks that there is much better food available. Of course you MUST WANT better food to begin with. Many folks just inhale every crumb because it is FREE.

  3. ………..and largely for the very same reason the low information people will vote to keep the FREEBIES COMING……..and that won’t be over until IT IS OVER! You don’t really have to look very far to see how twisted our so called society has become. Human INDIVIDUALITY has all but disappeared in America. We now behave like masses of sheep. What one does, a thousand others do NOT because it is what they WANT TO DO but rather they think they MUST do. This notion even extends to politics as well. We recently saw a classic example of a”follow the leader”game which was called POLITICAL DEBATES. Trump was chastised severely for refusing to get in line and follow the others. He raised his hand and said “Whoa not so fast”. Everybody seemed to think that he should be in lock step with all the others, Such is total bullshi#. If the people can’t handle Trump’s mannerisms then I am fairly certain he would tell all of them to GO STRAIGHT TO HELL. He is entitled to his individuality. Sure there is plenty of time for him to start PLEDGING ALLEGIANCE to an organization. BTW it would not surprise me if he showed up at the Democratic debates as well.(That is if they have any debates).,,,,,,,just for the purpose of determining which side he will run for POTUS on. Frankly I don’t see a damn thing wrong with such behavior……..and in addition Trump could become the first politician able to discern UP from DOWN.

  4. Callaway Power plant…leak! OMG..I just found out about it and it happened last month. The man said that if you live South East of the leak you got a dose of Radiation! Sue where are you??

  5. BTW…………I think Trump saw that certain people were trying to FORCE him to commit to the RINO CLUB when they concocted the alleged first question. “Will you agree to run as a Republican?”…….we all saw ….HE AGREED TO NOTHING……which is HIS RIGHT. Up to a point I personally admire INDIVIDUALITY in a person. At any rate as time passes we will without a doubt see a lot more of Trump’s individuality……….it is WHO, and WHAT HE IS. You will either LOVE HIM, or you will HATE HIM! MAYBE AMERICA IS READY FOR SUCH A PERSON, AND MAYBE NOT. There has not been one like him since the days of TEDDY ROOSEVELT.

  6. ………Teddy Roosevelt done a hell of a lot of things………….but in actuality ACCOMPLISHED very little. He screamed, cursed, and yelled, had tantrums, climbed (smaller ) mountains, hunted LIONS, and offended Cuba, …and.In some ways he might have been indirectly responsible for the sinking of the USS Maine in Santiago Bay. USS Maine was a COAL FIRED warship. Normally coal that was used by the Navy was thoroughly dried before it was loaded into a ship’s coal bunkers. ,………but Teddy Roosevelt ordered the Maine to be loaded up IMMEDIATELY, and be ready to depart for Cuba IMMEDIATELY when there is enough steam. Wet coal was loaded on board, and that was the beginning of the END of the USS Maine. Wet coal causes bunker fires, which turn bulkheads into RED HOT matches, and this was no different. There was an AMMO magazine immediately next to the burning coal bunker, and it was not long until the ammo began to heat up, became unstable, and finally exploded. Sinking the USS Maine. ….This might never have happened had Roosevelt not been in such a big hurry. Spain was subsequently blamed for the sinking which led to the Spanish American war.

  7. Ginger……….
    It largely depends where the leak occurred. If it was cooling water for the reactor, it might have been contained quickly enough to not be a serious threat. But yes ANY leak of COOLING water is SERIOUS. Insofar as any radiation going into the atmosphere I have my doubts. However if the reactor was allowed to reach critical mass then a meltdown could have occurred,…….. at which point ALL BETS ARE OFF!

  8. Ginger…….
    the accidental release of TRIATED water at Mississippi is most likely at very low levels of radiation. Tritium is a nuclide (isotope) of HYDROGEN, and is sometimes even found in surface water at many places in the world. Yes it requires periodic attention of generating plant operators…….but for there to be an ABUNDANCE in the surface water is unlikely, but it’s presence in negligible levels is frequent. Sometimes tritium is NATURALLY present in surface water. Barring some form of actual damage to the generation system as a whole I would disregard such small accidental releases of triated water.

  9. olsailor83..Thank You
    My concern was at the time the jet stream was flowing right across where I live. The gentleman said South East Missouri and I panicked.
    I have noticed since I am getting up at dawn and walking around my large block that the smell of chemicals, or something, hits me right in the face when I open the door and I do wear my face mask protection. I have been really having a problem with all kinds of allergies. It sucks!

    Here is another question…Under my kitchen sink is the vent pipe with a cap on it that has vent holes. The main pvc pipe comes from under the floor connecting to the drain lines under the sink. Every since we bought this place we have smelled an order and at first it smelled like rotten eggs. But lately it seem to smell more often. I am suffering headaches, congestion, fatigue, etc. Could this odor be causing my physical problems? Btw…when we moved here to Cape Girardeau and are parked at a mobile home park and a sewer drain is half way between us and our neighbor could any of this be our problem? I always thought that the vent pipes are supposed to be vented out through the roof??? Anyone???

  10. Megyn Kelly …told Donald Trump that women are not sex objects! Really Megyn?

  11. All,

    Very sad news.

    I just spoke with Cabby’s Power of Attorney and our friend passed away Saturday evening; she had been going downhill for the last few weeks. He said it was a combination of things, notably, that ‘the leukemia had gotten into her bones.’

    Arrangements are pending right now, but there will be a service at her church.

    I will post any info I get but in the meantime, please send up a prayer for our friend. May she rest in peace.

  12. Ginger | August 9, 2015 at 9:34 am |

    Ginger,

    Please don’t panic; this report wants you to do that.

    Oldsailor is right. Many nuclear power plants release tritium, and it is monitored closely.

    If any ‘plume’ was released, it is negligible. We tracked the radioactive plume from Fukushima as it traversed the U.S. and although we did get some hits, the amount of radioactivity was negligible and no threat to the public health.

    The EPA has a series of monitors set up across the U.S. called RadNet. Here’s the link:

    http://www2.epa.gov/radnet/near-real-time-and-laboratory-data-state

    You can look up your state and monitor the results.

    If there’s anything to worry about I’ll post it but for now, there’s no threat.

  13. Ginger……..
    yes a sewage or drain from a home or mobile home must have a vent through the roof. BUT……there must be traps as well. These will be directly under every sink, bathtub, and shower in the dwelling. The sewage vent will be in the case of a house a 4″ diameter vent from usually the main sewer pipe into which all toilets flush. Toilet bowls are themselves configured to also be traps.Sometimes these vents are separate and if you have only one bathroom there will be only one atmospheric vent. The reason why traps are put below sinks,etc is for the purpose of keeping sewer gas from coming up into the room. A trap is a two piece (upper and lower) halves which usually mate the middle…they are made of 1and 1/2″,or 2″ inside diameter components…..when properly assembled water draining from the sink will travel through the trap. There are two basic configurations of sink drain traps……one is an “S” trap and the other is a “P”. Every sink plus your shower ,and/ or bathtub must all be equipped with drain traps….otherwise sewer gas will be free to rise through the drains. The vent that you described is sometimes present in MOBILE HOMES. These are installed at the highest point attainable in the system to serve as vacuum breakers. They function like check valves CHECK VALVES. They allow air to be drawn into a drain system to facilitate the complete draining of the line. I installed one in my 2nd bathroom, because the drain line has a run in excess of 10′ in length. All drain lines must have vents which tie into the roof vent generally this is found in attic areas. There should be COMMON JUNCTURE of all vents. If you have any questions I will have CW send you my email address, so that I might be able to help further. Traps always have water inside. This is how they keep the sewer gas sealed below the trap. Hope this helps.

  14. SUEK……..
    The news of Caroline’s death is very devastating. I had talked with her a few weeks back and I had a gut feeling then that all was NOT well. Why does God take the decent folks among us FIRST, and allow the BASTARDS to live on, and on, and on?.

  15. oldsailor83 | August 9, 2015 at 2:55 pm |

    Yes, oldsailor, devastating is the word.

    Your instincts were correct; all was not well. I, and her entire blog family, were extremely worried. I was fortunate to be able to connect with her good friend and got the real scoop.

    I don’t know why the SOBs live on; perhaps it’s to test the rest of us.

    Her church is the Village Park Baptist Church in Sedona, AZ. I will keep posted on the services.

    I remember when she first started posting years ago, I’d asked her (not knowing her gender at the time) if she is, or was formerly a ‘cabbie.’ She was not….those were her initials :).

    Please say a prayer for her…

  16. Suek……..
    ……none of us are going to live forever. Sadly in our interim we must face the loss of loved ones, and friends as well. I think that this is sort of a conditioning we all receive. Grief in itself has a certain way of changing a person’s thoughts and very soul. The loss of Gloria has never left my mind. Perhaps it never will. I have tried hard to help people as much as I can, but sometimes outside help is unwelcome. I have learned this painfully, just as I learned everything else in my life that had any value.

  17. citizenwells

    Ginger:

    “Megyn Kelly …told Donald Trump that women are not sex objects! Really Megyn?”

  18. So sad to hear about the death of our dear friend. Cabby has always been supportive of me even when others came against me. I will miss her kind words and thoughtful comments.

  19. citizenwells

    God bless Cabby.

  20. citizenwells

    “Jobs shock: 100% of female employment gains taken by foreigners since 2007”

    “All of the employment gains among women since the recession hit in December 2007 have been taken by foreigners, even at a time when the numbers of U.S.-born women surged more than 600,000, according to new federal statistics.

    The jobs data released by the Bureau of Labor Statistics showed gains in the “employment level” among “foreign born women” and losses among “native born women.””

    http://www.washingtonexaminer.com/jobs-shock-100-of-female-employment-gains-taken-by-foreigners-since-2007/article/2569824?utm_campaign=Washington%20Examiner:%20Washington%20Secrets%20PMI&utm_source=Washington%20Examiner:%20Washington%20Secrets%20PMI%20-%2008/07/15&utm_medium=email

    Thank God someone else is reporting this!

  21. God Bless our Cabby. She is at peace now and I hope it was a peaceful passing.

  22. oldsailor83..and suek Thank You both for the advice. oldsailor83…I am going to copy your advice and have my husband check things out. I sure do miss my big beautiful home I had in the lake area. Big difference between a real wood frame home and a double wide manufactured home. ha But we had to do what we had to do to keep my grand son away from St. Francois county. Soon we will be looking for a lawyer and sue the hell out of that county and try and see if that democratic governor will give him a pardon. This is what my grandson wants.

    Mr. Wells..Megan Kelly is catching hell even at her Facebook page. All I got to say is if she used her sexuality to get where she is today she did not do very good because she is only a one hour a day five days a week personality on a liberal Faux news channel. Plus her husband is a stay at home daddy and writes books so that his pretty little, bleached blonde, heavy made up/long fake eyelash fake witch. She is a narcissistic bimbo! 🙂

  23. Ginger,

    According to Cabby’s Power of Attorney, she passed peacefully in her own home Saturday evening at 9:00 PM.

    I think I can speak for all of us when I say that we will miss her. Terribly.

    Rest in peace, Caroline.

  24. I am so very saddened to hear of our dear friend, Cabby. She always had such thoughtful, concise posts. It appeared to me that she had a very diverse and enriched life. Her posts reflected years of wisdom only known by those that walked those many miles.

    May she rest in peace and in God’s grace.

  25. It appears Fox stakeholders influenced them to target Trump. If they are not successful in bringing him down, the entire network is at risk under a Trump campaign and presidency. If Trump continues with his success, the elites will have to neutralize him on their own, possibly with a helicopter or airline crash, before he becomes the presumptive POTUS.

  26. SueK,
    Thank you for the information on cabby, may she rest in peace.

    She will be missed here at Citizen Wells.

  27. …Ginger……
    I have given some thought to what you was saying about the sewer gas problem. I would advise you to have your husband begin an immediate inspection of the entire sewer system and pay particular attention to joints in the line. He should begin at the point where the sewer line enters the ground, and work backwards and closely examine every inch of the main line, then do the same for all drain lines going into the main drain. That is KITCHEN SINK,BATHROOM SINK, STOOL TUB,AND SHOWER. If you have more than one bathroom, do the same for both. If you are smelling sewer gas there is either a cracked or leaking drain trap, or a cracked or leaking main sewer line. BTW be sure to check the vent through the roof to be sure that a bird has not built a nest in the vent pipe. Birds seem to have a fascination for such pipes. Also you should have him take a look at the BEESWAX ring which sets between the bottom of the toilet stool, and the sewer drain from the stool. If the stool is loose on the floor you will need to tighten it down some. If that seems to lessen the odor then it is probable that the S beeswax seal rings will need to be replaced. I had a friend some years back who bought a house and had exactly the same problem. Since the stool was loose at the floor he took the stool up and discovered that there was NO SEAL RING under the stool, and it was leaking BIG TIME. The repair of such problems isn’t complicated, but can be arduous. Installing a new ring is relatively straight forward. Wherever the odor is the strongest is most likely where you will discover the problem. But as I said DO A THOROUGH INSPECTION OF THE ENTIRE SEWAGE LINE CLEAR OUT TO WHERE IT ENTERS THE GROUND. LOOK FOR CRACKED,OR BROKEN FITTINGS,LEAKING FITTINGS,DETERIORATED METAL JOINTS, LOOSE SCREW CLAMP. Above all GO SLOW!

  28. oldsoldier79

    It saddens me to hear of Cabby’s passing…..I always enjoyed her post and her thoughts on any subject that was posted…..

    She will be missed by all of her friends here….. Rest in peace Cabby.

  29. CW if you will be so kind will you send Ginger my email address……….thanx.

  30. oldsoldier79

    S H O C K I N G !!!!!!….ABSOLUTELY SHOCKING

    listen closely to this Congressman quizzing the Federal Reserve official about nine TRILLION dollars that has gone missing under her watch…….

    Nine TRILLION dollars amounts to a personal debt of 30,000 dollars for every man, woman and child living in the United States.

    isn’t it time the Federal government took back CONTROL of the money supply from these ROBBER BARON BANKERS around the world?

    Especially since the Federal Reserve is no more federal than FEDEX……and all we are doing is buying back the money that we are printing as fast as the printing presses can print it…….

    It’s time we took back control of our own government and our country. At this time, we are nothing more than dedicated slaves who haven]t been told we are slaves.

    And we wonder why the national debt is approaching $20, 000, 000, 000.000 (20 TRILLION)….we are racking up the zeros and nobody gives a damn.

    By the way, 24 TRILLION is the absolute breaking point. We will hit that by 2018, or sooner at the rate we are going.

  31. BillG…………
    the criminal element would most likely “FUDDYISE” Trump. In case you don’t know what a “FUDDY” is……….that is when they first bring your airplane down a about a mile offshore, everybody gets out without a scratch, then one person dies under very suspicious circumstances. In some quarters the same HIT could also be called “a McDougal”. ……so named after Jim McDougal. Guess who was involved with the MCDOUGAL……..yep you guessed it Mzzzzzzzzzzzzzzzzzzzzzzzzzzzzzzzzzzzzz. Clint

  32. Pingback: Female job gains since 2007 taken by immigrants, US born women lost 64k jobs, Foreign born women gained 1 million jobs, 25 million foreign workers hold jobs inside the United States, First 6 years of Obama 75 percent of employment went to Hispanics | Citi

  33. I’m sorry to hear of Cabby’s passing.

  34. Pingback: Food bank demand reveals real economy, Obama jobs are mostly part time low wage and going to immigrants, White American employment decimated under Obama, Census bureau reports 1 in 5 children receives food stamps, Higher than before 2007 recession | Citiz

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