Category Archives: North Carolina

NC January unemployment rate 5.4 percent LOL, May 2008 comparison showed over 5 percent plummet in participation rate, Jan data not available yet, LAUS data being rectified, BLS 2015 redesign

NC January unemployment rate 5.4 percent LOL, May 2008 comparison showed over 5 percent plummet in participation rate, Jan data not available yet, LAUS data being rectified, BLS 2015 redesign

 

“There’s no other way to say this. The official unemployment rate, which cruelly overlooks the suffering of the long-term and often permanently unemployed as well as the depressingly underemployed, amounts to a Big Lie.”…Gallup CEO Jim Clifton 

“11.4%: What the U.S. unemployment rate would be if labor force participation were back to January 2008 levels.” …James Pethokoukis, American Enterprise Institute, June 2013

“the Times of the nineteenth of December had published the official forecasts of the output of various classes of consumption goods in the fourth quarter of 1983, which was also the sixth quarter of the Ninth Three-Year Plan. Today’s issue contained a statement of the actual output, from which it appeared that the forecasts were in every instance grossly wrong. Winston’s job was to rectify the original figures by making them agree with the later ones.”…George Orwell, “1984”

 

***  UPDATE BELOW  ***

The January 2015 employment data for NC was announced March 17.

Several days ago I attempted to access the LAUS, Local Area Unemployment Statistics, for North Carolina.
I got this message :

“Due to maintenance this site is temporarily unavailable. 

You can access our data using one of our other available applications:
AccessNC OR NCWorks

If you need to contact us please call 919.707.1500.”

The next day I called, was transferred to a specialist & left a message.

I have received no return call.

From the US Labor Department BLS.

“What does the LAUS 2015 Redesign entail?

The 2015 LAUS Redesign includes improved time-series models for the census divisions, states, select substate areas, and the balances of those states; an improved real-time benchmarking procedure to the national Current Population Survey (CPS) estimates; an improved smoothed seasonal adjustment procedure; and improved treatment of outliers.

Non-modeled area estimation improvements include: updated Dynamic Residency Ratios (DRR); more accurate estimates for all-other employment; more accurate estimation of agricultural employment; and improved estimation of non-covered agricultural unemployment. Handbook estimation is now done at the county level instead of at the Labor Market Area (LMA) level, which better reflects local conditions. The Redesign also introduces estimation inputs from the American Community Survey (ACS) to replace inputs that were previously obtained from the decennial census long-form survey.

In addition, 2010 Office of Management and Budget (OMB) delineations for metropolitan areas, metropolitan divisions, and micropolitan areas and new LAUS small labor market areas will be implemented with the 2015 LAUS Redesign.

How often does LAUS conduct major redesigns to its methodology?
Typically every 10 years.

When will the LAUS 2015 Redesign changes be implemented?
The 2015 Redesign is being implemented with the publication of January 2015 estimates.”

“Why is LAUS making these program improvements?

Some issues have been identified with the 2005 methods of estimation at the state and substate levels that affect accuracy and analysis of the estimates. Because LAUS is committed to producing high-quality data, it must conduct research and improve its methods and procedures. Moreover, when data sources cease to exist, it must find new sources to replace them. The 2015 state and substate estimation approaches generate more accurate and reliable estimates.”

“How will the LAUS 2015 Redesign affect historical comparisons?

For the census divisions, states, and balance of states, the entire historical series from January 1976 forward will be replaced with estimates based on the redesigned models. For the five modeled metropolitan areas and divisions, the plan is to re-estimate back to 1990. For the remaining substate areas, the re-estimation with the new methodology will be carried back to 2010. Hence, many areas can be expected to display breaks in series between 2009 and 2010.”

http://www.bls.gov/lau/2015redesignqa.htm#Q02

I can’t wait to see the “rectifications.”

I have criticized NC Governor Pat McCrory as well as Obama.

From Citizen Wells February 5, 2015.

From the State Of the State speech February 4, 2015.

“As I said, two years ago, our unemployment rate was the fifth highest in the nation. So we all rolled up our sleeves, made the tough decisions, and as of today, the private sector has created nearly 200,000 new jobs. We went from the 5th highest in unemployment to the 23rd lowest, and now we’re even beating South Carolina. Despite this tremendous accomplishment there are still a lot of communities, small businesses, and individuals that are hurting, and there is still much work to be done. Therefore, my administration’s focus will be on five areas that have the greatest impact on our people. ”

“Much of the drop in the unemployment rate in NC came from people dropping out of the labor force.

From Citizen Wells December 21, 2014.

“Despite what you may have read from the low information mainstream media, baby boomers retiring are not the cause of the drop in the labor force in NC or US.

Do the math or read prior articles at Citizen Wells.

Lack of jobs is the problem.

From May of 2008 to November of 2014, the labor force participation rate plummeted 5 percent in NC. The unemployment rate is the same.””

“Greensboro News Record February 5, 2015.

“The unemployment rate in the Greensboro-High Point metro area decreased to 5.3 percent in December 2014, compared with 6.9 percent in December 2013, according to a report from the N.C. Department of Commerce.”

““The state’s labor force shrunk 0.2 percent in November, losing 13,534 people. Over the past year, the labor force has shrunk 0.7 percent, for a reduction of 31,665 people.

A shrinking labor force will drive down the unemployment rate because fewer people are looking for work.””

“From the Center for Immigration Studies August 2014.

“An analysis of government data by the Center for Immigration Studies shows that, since 2000, all of the net increase in the number of working-age (16 to 65) people holding a job in North Carolina has gone to immigrants (legal and illegal). This is the case even though the native-born accounted for 61 percent of growth in the state’s total working-age population.””

https://citizenwells.wordpress.com/2015/02/05/nc-governor-pat-mccrory-speech-on-employment-misleading-big-unemployment-rate-lie-greensboro-news-record-article-record-numbers-leave-labor-force-percent-of-population-working-plummets-immigrants/

The primary reason that the unemployment rate has dropped is due to the plummet of the labor force participation.

From Citizen Wells January 29, 2015.

“NC labor force participation rate plummets 5.3 percent since May 2008, Reason for unemployment rate drop, Reason for drop in claims, No more employees left to lay off, NC ninth most populous state”

https://citizenwells.wordpress.com/2015/01/29/nc-labor-force-participation-rate-plummets-5-3-percent-since-may-2008-reason-for-unemployment-rate-drop-reason-for-drop-in-claims-no-more-employees-left-to-lay-off-nc-ninth-most-populous-state/

From Citizen Wells December 21, 2014.

“Despite what you may have read from the low information mainstream media, baby boomers retiring are not the cause of the drop in the labor force in NC or US.

Do the math or read prior articles at Citizen Wells.

Lack of jobs is the problem.

From May of 2008 to November of 2014, the labor force participation rate plummeted 5 percent in NC. The unemployment rate is the same.

From NC Spin December 20, 2014.

“North Carolina’s jobless rate fell to 5.8 percent in November, the lowest since May 2008, as the state’s economy gains force in the second half of the year.”

https://citizenwells.wordpress.com/2014/12/21/nc-labor-force-participation-rate-plummets-5-percent-from-may-2008-to-november-2014-unemployment-rate-same-baby-boomers-retiring-not-cause-of-labor-force-drop-lack-of-jobs-causes-younger-people-to/

 

***  Update 3/21/2015 10:10 AM  ***

From the NC LAUS

“This application is expected to be available on March 24, 2015.”

 

 

 

 

Warren Buffett Greensboro News Record offer to purchase from Roy Carroll, Rhino Times Owner, News & Record has drifted far left of center in terms of its coverage and stories

Warren Buffett Greensboro News Record offer to purchase from Roy Carroll, Rhino Times Owner, News & Record has drifted far left of center in terms of its coverage and stories

“The (American) press, which is mostly controlled by vested
interests, has an excessive influence on public opinion.”… Albert Einstein

“the Times of the nineteenth of December had published the official forecasts of the output of various classes of consumption goods in the fourth quarter of 1983, which was also the sixth quarter of the Ninth Three-Year Plan. Today’s issue contained a statement of the actual output, from which it appeared that the forecasts were in every instance grossly wrong. Winston’s job was to rectify the original figures by making them agree with the later ones.”…George Orwell, “1984”

Freedom is the freedom to say that two plus two make four. If that is granted, all else follows.”…George Orwell, “1984”

 

 

I already liked Roy Carroll, a local businessman who has played a major role in the revitalization of downtown Greensboro and who resurrected the Rhino Times.

Now I love the man.

From the Rhino Times February 26, 2015.

“A Letter to Mr. Buffett

February 26, 2015

Since resuscitating the Rhino Times, hardly a day has passed without someone asking me to take the Rhino to a daily publication so that they could get fair and balanced local news and editorials.  Since day one of owning the Rhino, I have studied doing just that; however, the thought recently occurred to me that it might be advantageous to just purchase the News & Record.  Warren Buffett’s Berkshire Hathaway owns the Greensboro News & Record, along with the Winston-Salem Journal and a list of other daily publications across the country.  I believe the News & Record has turned its back on mainstream Greensboro and taken a hard left turn, and, while I don’t know this for a fact, I would surmise that the paper’s readership and ad sales numbers are bound to have taken a downward turn as well.

Under my business plan I would return the News & Record to a “middle of the road” publication, using the Rhino Times to complement the News & Record with its typical political commentary and coverage of city, county and state news.”

“Dear Mr. Buffett:

 

I first would like to introduce myself.  My name is Roy Carroll and I own several Greensboro businesses, including Snap Publications, the parent company of the Rhino Times, a local weekly news publication.

 

Speculation is that you are not satisfied with the financial performance of several of your newsprint publications since you acquired them.  If that is correct, I would ask that you seriously consider the enclosed Letter of Intent to Purchase the Greensboro News & Record.

 

Please understand that this is not a publicity stunt but a bona fide offer.  I have developed a business plan to turn the News & Record around and to hopefully make it a viable business.  The plan involves utilizing the synergies that could be created between both publications being located in the same city, and consolidating senior management, advertising sales and distribution.  I envision changes to the editorial team that would result in potentially the most cost savings and revenue growth.

 

Over the course of several years, the News & Record, in my opinion, has drifted far left of center in terms of its coverage and stories.  I believe that this drift far to the left has hurt the News & Record in terms of readership and ad sales.  Under my business plan, I would prune back some of the writers that have gone so far left of center and hire writers that were less dogmatic in their far left of center news coverage and opinions.    Don’t get me wrong, I value opposing viewpoints and would promote healthy debates on important topics.  Publishing opposing viewpoints is productive and, in my opinion, a responsibility of a local daily.  Actually, most Greensboro citizens see themselves in the political center.

 

I’ll give you a classic example of what I’m saying.  I’m sure you have research detailing the unfortunate state of the local Greensboro economy.  Over the last four or five years we have somehow lost our way in terms of job creation and wage growth.  While our peer cities were actively recruiting new businesses on the back side of the recession, Greensboro, in my opinion, had the wrong people and possibly the wrong economic development structure in place.  As a result, there have been virtually no net jobs created in Greensboro.  You would think that a responsible local daily would be all over this issue, regularly writing about the lack of job growth and local economic development, especially since it hurts everyone in our community, including the readers and advertisers that the News & Record relies on.”

Read more:

http://www.rhinotimes.com/a-letter-to-mr-buffett.html

I have criticized the News Record as well.

From Citizen Wells February 22, 2015.

“There are numerous variations of the AP January 2015 jobs report from around February 7, 2015.

The Greensboro News Record regurgitated their own version in print. I could not find an online version so the print edition is provided in full below.

The News Record has been diligent in fact checking the employment data and record of the NC Republicans in power but when it comes to Obama and the national economy, anything goes.”

I am disappointed that instead of fact checking the AP article and presenting the truth, they regurgitated it.

https://citizenwells.wordpress.com/2015/02/22/ap-january-jobs-economy-report-lies-inaccuracies-misleading-statements-greensboro-news-record-regurgitates-sloppy-reporting-bias-or-orwellian-lies/

 

 

 

Citizenfour wins Oscar, Edward Snowden documentary, Laura Poitras film about NSA spying revelations receives Academy award for non fiction films, Citizen four Snowden pseudonym

Citizenfour wins Oscar, Edward Snowden documentary, Laura Poitras film about NSA spying revelations receives Academy award for non fiction films, Citizen four Snowden pseudonym

“His earlier thought returned to him: probably she was not actually a member of the Thought Police, but then it was precisely the amateur spy who was the greatest danger of all. He did not know how long she had been looking at him, but perhaps for as much as five minutes, and it was possible that his features had not been perfectly under control. It was terribly dangerous to let your thoughts wander when you were in any public place or within range of a telescreen. The smallest thing could give you away. A nervous tic, an unconscious look of anxiety, a habit of muttering to yourself — anything that carried with it the suggestion of abnormality, of having something to hide. In any case, to wear an improper expression on your face (to look incredulous when a victory was announced, for example) was itself a punishable offence. There was even a word for it in Newspeak: facecrime, it was called.”…George Orwell “1984″

“A Party member lives from birth to death under the eye of the Thought Police. Even when he is alone he can never be sure that he is alone. Wherever he may be, asleep or awake, working or resting, in his bath or in bed, he can be inspected without warning and without knowing that he is being inspected. Nothing that he does is indifferent.”…George Orwell, “1984″

“The US government is not going to be able to cover this up by jailing or murdering me,”…Edward Snowden

 

Edward Snowden and I have several things in common.

I hope that we have the opportunity to converse.

From the Guardian February 23, 2015.

“Edward Snowden documentary Citizenfour wins Oscar
Laura Poitras’ film about Edward Snowden and the NSA spying revelations carries off Academy award for non-fiction films”

Citizenfour has won the Oscar for best documentary, for its director Laura Poitras, editor Mathilde Bonnefoy and producer Dirk Wilutzky.

Collecting the award, Poitras, flanked by journalist and collaborator Glenn Greenwald, said: “The disclosures of Edward Snowden don’t only expose a threat to our privacy but to our democracy itself. When the decisions that rule us are taken in secret we lose the power to control and govern ourselves.” Poitras thanked Edward Snowden for his “sacrifices”, and added: “I share this award with Glenn Greenwald and the many other journalists who are taking risks to expose the truth.”

“When Laura Poitras asked me if she could film our encounters, I was extremely reluctant. I’m grateful that I allowed her to persuade me. The result is a brave and brilliant film that deserves the honour and recognition it has received. My hope is that this award will encourage more people to see the film and be inspired by its message that ordinary citizens, working together, can change the world.”

Guardian defence correspondent (and Citizenfour star) Ewen MacAskill said:

“Congratulations to Laura Poitras. When she filmed Snowden, Glenn Greenwald and myself in Hong Kong, it never occurred to me she had something as ambitious as CitizenFour in mind.

I did not even give much thought to why she was filming: just assumed she wanted a record of events for some undisclosed reason, maybe a low-budget film to be used by privacy campaigners. It came as a surprise when I finally saw it, the sheer professionalism of it, and I had no doubt from that point she would win an Oscar.

Good news for Laura. Good news too for Snowden: he can treat the Oscar as one of his biggest endorsements yet.”

Citizenfour chronicles the revelations by former NSA contractor Edward Snowden that burgeoned into the wider NSA spying scandal. The Guardian and theWashington Post simultaneously began publishing Snowden’s leaked information in June 2013, with both publications winning a Pulitzer prize in 2014 for Public Service journalism. The film’s title derives from the pseudonym Snowden used when he first anonymously contacted Poitras.”

Read more:

http://www.theguardian.com/film/2015/feb/23/edward-snowden-documentary-citizenfour-wins-oscar

AP January jobs economy report lies inaccuracies misleading statements, Greensboro News Record regurgitates, Sloppy reporting bias or Orwellian lies?

AP January jobs economy report lies inaccuracies misleading statements, Greensboro News Record regurgitates, Sloppy reporting bias or Orwellian lies?

“The (American) press, which is mostly controlled by vested
interests, has an excessive influence on public opinion.”… Albert Einstein

“the Times of the nineteenth of December had published the official forecasts of the output of various classes of consumption goods in the fourth quarter of 1983, which was also the sixth quarter of the Ninth Three-Year Plan. Today’s issue contained a statement of the actual output, from which it appeared that the forecasts were in every instance grossly wrong. Winston’s job was to rectify the original figures by making them agree with the later ones.”…George Orwell, “1984”

Freedom is the freedom to say that two plus two make four. If that is granted, all else follows.”…George Orwell, “1984”

***  See footnote below  ***

***  Update below  ***

There are numerous variations of the AP January 2015 jobs report from around February 7, 2015.

The Greensboro News Record regurgitated their own version in print. I could not find an online version so the print edition is provided in full below.

The News Record has been diligent in fact checking the employment data and record of the NC Republicans in power but when it comes to Obama and the national economy, anything goes.

I am disappointed that instead of fact checking the AP article and presenting the truth, they regurgitated it.

From the Greensboro News Record February 7, 2015.

“Job gains reflect growing recovery
WASHINGTON — A resurgent job market in January signaled that the U.S. economy is finally regaining the kind of strength typical of a healthy recovery — with hiring accelerating, wages rising and people who had given up their job hunts starting to look again.
Freer-spending consumers and steady economic expansion have boosted hiring for the past three months to the most robust pace in 17 years.
In January, employers added 257,000 jobs, after 329,000 in December and a sizzling 423,000 jobs in November, the government reported Friday. The November and December gains were much higher than the government had first estimated.
“The labor market was about the last thing to recover from the Great Recession, and in the last six months it has picked up steam,” said Bill Hampel, chief economist at the Credit Union National Association. “The benefits for the middle class are now solidifying.”
The average hourly wage rose 12 cents to $24.75 in January, a jump of 0.5 percent — the sharpest since 2008. In the past year, hourly pay, which has long been stagnant, has risen 2.2 percent. That’s well above inflation, which rose just 0.8 percent in 2014.
The accelerating job and pay growth now make it more likely that the Federal Reserve will begin raising the short-term interest rate it controls by midyear.
Paul Ashworth, chief U.S. economist at Capital Economics, predicts that the Fed will raise rates from record lows in June.
Investors responded to the better-than-expected figures by selling U.S. Treasurys, sending yields up, a sign that many think a Fed rate hike might be more imminent than they thought before. The yield on the 10-year Treasury note rose to 1.94 percent from 1.81 percent shortly before the jobs report was released.
Stock investors appeared nervous about a Fed rate increase, which could pull down stock prices. The Dow Jones industrial average closed down 60 points, or 0.3 percent, to 17,824.
The unemployment rate rose last month to 5.7 percent from 5.6 percent. But that occurred for a good reason: More than 700,000 Americans — the most in six years — began looking for jobs. Not all of them found work, which swelled the number of unemployed. The influx of job hunters suggested that Americans have grown more confident about their prospects.
Fueling the burst of hiring has been a pickup in economic growth and falling gas prices that offered Americans more money to spend. The economy expanded at a 4.8 percent annual rate during spring and summer, the fastest six-month pace in a decade, before slowing to a still-decent 2.6 percent pace in the final three months of 2014.
There are now 3.2 million more Americans earning paychecks than there were 12 months ago. That additional cash tends to boost consumer spending, which drives about 70 percent of economic growth.
Americans are feeling better about the economy. Consumer confidence jumped in January to its highest level in 10 years, according to a survey by the University of Michigan. And consumers increased their spending during the final three months of last year at the fastest pace in nearly nine years.
A more confident, free-spending consumer could lend a spark that had been missing for most of the 5½-year-old recovery. Americans have been largely holding the line on spending and trying to shrink debt loads. Signs that they’re poised to spend more have boosted optimism that the economy will expand over 3 percent this year for the first time in a decade.
Retailers added 45,900 jobs in January, hotels and restaurants 37,100.
Though jobs in those industries typically offer lower wages, companies have boosted pay as they have scrambled to fill openings. Hourly pay has risen 3 percent in the past year for retailers and 3.4 percent for hotel and restaurant employees.”

The employment numbers used below come straight from the US Labor Department.

It is important to note that every January the Labor Dept. rectifies ( A term used in “1984” ) the data.

Beside each January you will find “1 : Data affected by changes in population controls.”

First lie/inaccuracy: There were 3 million not 3.2 million more people working since last January.

Error of omission: Over 1.3 million of those gains in employment in the last year went to Hispanic/Latinos.

Misleading: “The labor market was about the last thing to recover from the Great Recession, and in the last six months it has picked up steam,” “The benefits for the middle class are now solidifying.”

Misleading:  “More than 700,000 Americans — the most in six years — began looking for jobs. Not all of them found work, which swelled the number of unemployed. The influx of job hunters suggested that Americans have grown more confident about their prospects.” That is all conjecture. Remember from above: “1 : Data affected by changes in population controls.”

Did you know?

Of the approx. 6 million new employments since Obama took office in January 2009, 4,511,000 were Hispanic/Latino!

We have barely, if at all,  recovered all of the jobs lost during the recession and 75% of the job growth went to Hispanic/Latinos!!

The large numbers of young people entering the labor force are the reason that the percent of population working has dropped under Obama. I will examine this more in detail and report soon.

Approx. 9 million people net have entered the population counted by the BLS for employment population since Obama took office. That is the people turning 16 years old subtracted by deaths. That is the reason for the increase in those not in the labor force, not baby boomers as some would have you believe.

There was an increase of over 12 million not in the labor force since Obama took office.

According to Gallup CEO Jim Clifton, the unemployment rate is a big lie.

“The Big Lie: 5.6% Unemployment”

“Here’s something that many Americans — including some of the smartest and most educated among us — don’t know: The official unemployment rate, as reported by the U.S. Department of Labor, is extremely misleading.

Right now, we’re hearing much celebrating from the media, the White House and Wall Street about how unemployment is “down” to 5.6%. The cheerleading for this number is deafening. The media loves a comeback story, the White House wants to score political points and Wall Street would like you to stay in the market.

None of them will tell you this: If you, a family member or anyone is unemployed and has subsequently given up on finding a job — if you are so hopelessly out of work that you’ve stopped looking over the past four weeks — the Department of Labor doesn’t count you as unemployed. That’s right. While you are as unemployed as one can possibly be, and tragically may never find work again, you are not counted in the figure we see relentlessly in the news — currently 5.6%. Right now, as many as 30 million Americans are either out of work or severely underemployed. Trust me, the vast majority of them aren’t throwing parties to toast “falling” unemployment.

There’s another reason why the official rate is misleading. Say you’re an out-of-work engineer or healthcare worker or construction worker or retail manager: If you perform a minimum of one hour of work in a week and are paid at least $20 — maybe someone pays you to mow their lawn — you’re not officially counted as unemployed in the much-reported 5.6%. Few Americans know this.

Yet another figure of importance that doesn’t get much press: those working part time but wanting full-time work. If you have a degree in chemistry or math and are working 10 hours part time because it is all you can find — in other words, you are severely underemployed — the government doesn’t count you in the 5.6%. Few Americans know this.

There’s no other way to say this. The official unemployment rate, which cruelly overlooks the suffering of the long-term and often permanently unemployed as well as the depressingly underemployed, amounts to a Big Lie.

And it’s a lie that has consequences, because the great American dream is to have a good job, and in recent years, America has failed to deliver that dream more than it has at any time in recent memory. A good job is an individual’s primary identity, their very self-worth, their dignity — it establishes the relationship they have with their friends, community and country. When we fail to deliver a good job that fits a citizen’s talents, training and experience, we are failing the great American dream.”

Read more:

http://www.gallup.com/opinion/chairman/181469/big-lie-unemployment.aspx

The consumer spending noted in the AP report is inaccurate as well, but after seeing the jobs misportrayed, you will not find that surprising.

Reread the article above and see if it squares with the facts and let those reporting this Orwellian crap know that you do not appreciate it.

As noted above, there are millions of young people entering the labor force each year and getting disproportionately clobbered by the economy and jobs market. More on this to come.

***  Footnote added 9:45 AM  ***

The Labor Dept. shows approx 15 and a half million more people added to the employment population since Jan 2009.

Obviously some of those are aliens, legal or illegal.

***  Update Feb 23, 7:40 AM  ***

I meant to include this important “rectification” to the AP article.

“The labor market was about the last thing to recover from the Great Recession, and in the last six months it has picked up steam,”
There were approx. 1.8 more people employed in the last 6 months. 50 percent of those, approx. 900,000, were Hispanic/Latino.

BLS percent of population working reveals Hispanic growth, Whites getting screwed, No white job gains in 8 years, Dr. Ada Fisher NC GOP on immigration hurting Blacks, 26 percent hispanic job growth

BLS percent of population working reveals Hispanic growth, Whites getting screwed, No white job gains in 8 years, Dr. Ada Fisher NC GOP on immigration hurting Blacks, 26 percent hispanic job growth

“Since 2006, the Hispanic/Latino employed number has skyrocketed 26 percent.”…Citizen Wells

“Over the last six months, of the net job creation, 97 percent of that is part-time work,”…Keith Hall, former BLS chief

“11.4%: What the U.S. unemployment rate would be if labor force participation were back to January 2008 levels.” …James Pethokoukis, American Enterprise Institute, June 2013

“Freedom is the freedom to say that two plus two make four. If that is granted, all else follows.”…George Orwell, “1984″

 

 

What I am about to report to you comes straight from the US Labor Department BLS.

I do not make up numbers and I endeavor to report the facts.

A big lie is being repeated.

The impact of baby boomers on employment.

The baby boomers have zero impact on the percent of population employed.

Zero!

The mainstream media, including CNBC has done their best to protect Obama and obfuscate the employment  situation.

Last Friday, after the January jobs data was released, Chief Economist at Goldman Sachs Jan Hatzius was interviewed.

Mr. Hatzius referred to the 4 percent drop in the percent of population working since 2006.

He stated that the baby boomers could account for 2 percent of that.

I carried on an email exchange with Jan Hatzius over the weekend.

He stayed with his 2 percent assertion but did state that we need jobs.

From Citizen Wells February 9, 2015.

“The problem is clearly not baby boomers.

The problem is that the Obama administration has been focusing on trying to recover jobs lost during the recession.

What is not being addressed or reported is the number of new workers being added.

Each year since 2006 we have added a net average of approx. 1.5 million workers over age 16.

Each year we have added approx 3.9 new 16 year olds.

Each year we have averaged approx 2.4 million deaths.

That nets to 1.5 million.

That totals approx. 12 million new workers since 2006.

And God only knows how many new illegal alien workers we have.

Choose your own number.

This easily explains the drop in the percent of population working.

I would bet it is even worse.”

https://citizenwells.wordpress.com/2015/02/09/drop-in-percent-of-population-working-easily-explained-not-baby-boomers-1-5-million-net-new-working-age-each-year-illegal-immigrants-not-enough-jobs-added-trying-to-replace-jobs-lost-not-keeping/

It is worse!

Since 2006, the Hispanic/Latino employed number has skyrocketed 26 percent!

The black employed number has jumped 10 percent.

Are you ready?

The white employed number has not increased!

In fact it has dropped slightly.

There were 118,148 employed in January 2006.

There were 118,035 employed in January 2015.

From the Citizen Wells article above we learn that approx. 12 million people were added to the labor force via the net of the population becoming 16 and those dying each year.

Approx 1.5 million were added each year excluding immigration.

This accounts for much of the drop in the percent of population working since 2006.

It also adds credence to the following.

From the Center for Immigration Studies August 2014.

“An analysis of government data by the Center for Immigration Studies shows that, since 2000, all of the net increase in the number of working-age (16 to 65) people holding a job in North Carolina has gone to immigrants (legal and illegal).
This is the case even though the native-born accounted for 61 percent of growth in the state’s total working-age population.”

Read more:

http://cis.org/all-north-carolina-employment-growth-since-2000-went-to-immigrants

The NC percent of population employed dropped 8.6 percent since 2000!!!

Dr. Ada Fisher is a retired physician and Republican National Committeewoman from NC.

Yesterday by “chance” for the second time in several months, I caught her interview on “Black Issues Forum” on UNC TV.

The timing could not have been better.

Dr. Fisher is for legal immigration and against illegals entering our country.

She warns about the impact of illegal immigrants on black employment.

Watch the interview.

http://video.unctv.org/video/2365372335/

The biggest problems with employment are:

Not enough jobs.

Not enough full time jobs.

Not enough quality jobs.

Illegal immigrants.

Government and media lies.

Once again, I urge you to listen.

 

 

 

 

 

NC Governor Pat McCrory speech on employment misleading, Big unemployment rate lie, Greensboro News Record article, Record numbers leave labor force, Percent of population working plummets, Immigrants get NC jobs

NC Governor Pat McCrory speech on employment misleading, Big unemployment rate lie, Greensboro News Record article, Record numbers leave labor force, Percent of population working plummets, Immigrants get NC jobs

“There’s no other way to say this. The official unemployment rate, which cruelly overlooks the suffering of the long-term and often permanently unemployed as well as the depressingly underemployed, amounts to a Big Lie.”…Gallup CEO Jim Clifton 

“11.4%: What the U.S. unemployment rate would be if labor force participation were back to January 2008 levels.” …James Pethokoukis, American Enterprise Institute, June 2013

“Freedom is the freedom to say that two plus two make four. If that is granted, all else follows.”…George Orwell, “1984″

 

 

I am not a fan of modern day political parties.

I detest the modern day Democrat Party and for good reason.

Governor Pat McCrory inherited a mess created by the Obama camp and Democrats in NC. A horrible economic and jobs situation.

McCrory is a likeable fellow and I believe that the Republicans controlling government in NC will try to fix the mess.

That does not excuse him from making misleading statements about the jobs situation here.

From the State Of the State speech February 4, 2015.

“As I said, two years ago, our unemployment rate was the fifth highest in the nation. So we all rolled up our sleeves, made the tough decisions, and as of today, the private sector has created nearly 200,000 new jobs. We went from the 5th highest in unemployment to the 23rd lowest, and now we’re even beating South Carolina. Despite this tremendous accomplishment there are still a lot of communities, small businesses, and individuals that are hurting, and there is still much work to be done. Therefore, my administration’s focus will be on five areas that have the greatest impact on our people. ”

Read more:

http://www.governor.state.nc.us/newsroom/press-releases/20150204/transcript-2015-state-state-address

Much of the drop in the unemployment rate in NC came from people dropping out of the labor force.

From Citizen Wells December 21, 2014.

“Despite what you may have read from the low information mainstream media, baby boomers retiring are not the cause of the drop in the labor force in NC or US.

Do the math or read prior articles at Citizen Wells.

Lack of jobs is the problem.

From May of 2008 to November of 2014, the  labor force participation rate plummeted 5 percent in NC. The unemployment rate is the same.”

https://citizenwells.wordpress.com/2014/12/21/nc-labor-force-participation-rate-plummets-5-percent-from-may-2008-to-november-2014-unemployment-rate-same-baby-boomers-retiring-not-cause-of-labor-force-drop-lack-of-jobs-causes-younger-people-to/

The Greensboro News Record may be reporting the facts about jobs because the Republicans are in power.

Greensboro News Record February 5, 2015.

“The unemployment rate in the Greensboro-High Point metro area decreased to 5.3 percent in December 2014, compared with 6.9 percent in December 2013, according to a report from the N.C. Department of Commerce.”

““The state’s labor force shrunk 0.2 percent in November, losing 13,534 people. Over the past year, the labor force has shrunk 0.7 percent, for a reduction of 31,665 people.

A shrinking labor force will drive down the unemployment rate because fewer people are looking for work.”

“Guilford County’s unemployment rate also dropped to 5.3 percent in December 2014 from 6.9 percent a year earlier.

Rockingham County’s rate fell to 5.9 percent from 7.6 per­cent a year earlier.

And Randolph County’s rate dropped to 4.8 percent from 6.4 percent a year earlier.

But the encouraging numbers doesn’t necessarily mean many more people are working. The number of people who are actually working in those counties has improved very slowly or decreased during the same period, suggesting that many people have stopped looking for work altogether.

In Guilford County, 234,645 people were working in December 2014, compared with 233,313 a year earlier. This is part of an ongoing — but painfully slow — trend. The current figure, for example, is not a dramatic improvement from the December 2008 figure of 229,813.

In Rockingham County, 38,865 people were working in December 2014, compared with 38,645 the previous December.

And in Randolph County, 66,626 people were working in December, compared with 66,247 in December 2013. The county’s total employment has not fully recovered since December 2008, when 68,593 were working.”

Read more:

http://www.news-record.com/business/local_business/december-jobless-rate-down-from-a-year-earlier/article_670a1dc0-ace1-11e4-8f66-ffd39786c2ba.html

It gets worse folks.

From the Center for Immigration Studies August 2014.

“An analysis of government data by the Center for Immigration Studies shows that, since 2000, all of the net increase in the number of working-age (16 to 65) people holding a job in North Carolina has gone to immigrants (legal and illegal). This is the case even though the native-born accounted for 61 percent of growth in the state’s total working-age population.”

Read more:

http://cis.org/all-north-carolina-employment-growth-since-2000-went-to-immigrants

The US Labor Dept. will release the “unemployment rate” and jobs added for January tomorrow.

Expect more lies.

 

 

 

Initial claims lowest in 15 years?, Look at percent of population working!, Get rid of enough employees and claims go down, Citizen Wells challenge to Orwellian and low information reporters in media

Initial claims lowest in 15 years?, Look at percent of population working!, Get rid of enough employees and claims go down, Citizen Wells challenge to Orwellian and low information reporters in media

“The number of persons employed part time for economic reasons (sometimes referred to as involuntary part-time workers) was little changed in September at 7.1 million. These individuals, who would have preferred full-time employment, were working part time because their hours had been cut back or because they were unable to find a full-time job.”…US Labor Dept. September 2014

“11.4%: What the U.S. unemployment rate would be if labor force participation were back to January 2008 levels.” …James Pethokoukis, American Enterprise Institute, June 2013

And if all others accepted the lie which the Party imposed
–if all records told the same tale–then the lie passed into
history and became truth. “Who controls the past,” ran the
Party slogan, “controls the future: who controls the present
controls the past.”…George Orwell, “1984″

 

 

You are reporting that initial claims were the lowest in 15 years with a straight face and  you are not on drugs , you really believe it and you are not part of the Obama camp Orwellian media.

How about giving the public the damn truth!

Just this morning I wrote.

“NC labor force participation rate plummets 5.3 percent since May 2008, Reason for unemployment rate drop, Reason for drop in claims, No more employees left to lay off, NC ninth most populous state”

“Do not be fooled by low information biased media.

Those folks dropping out of the labor force are not mostly older baby boomers.

They are younger people who have given up on finding jobs.

Many of them are not drawing unemployment pay and are not counted in the unemployed numbers.

They also cannot be laid off.

NC is the ninth most populous state and is representative of what is taking place in the US.

Many states have been hit even harder.

From Citizen Wells January 15, 2015.

“Forget the unemployment rate. If you remove enough people from the labor force you will achieve full employment and a low unemployment rate. We have that scenario now. In fact one state, West Virginia, has a labor force participation rate below 50 percent yet the unemployment rate is 6.3 percent.

See what I mean?

Old Abe Lincoln once said “you can’t fool all of the people all of the time.””

https://citizenwells.wordpress.com/2015/01/29/nc-labor-force-participation-rate-plummets-5-3-percent-since-may-2008-reason-for-unemployment-rate-drop-reason-for-drop-in-claims-no-more-employees-left-to-lay-off-nc-ninth-most-populous-state/

The plummet of the labor force participation rate in NC, other states and the US is big news and should be more widely reported.

The percentage of the population working is also important and in some ways more significant.

Since the big news today was the lowest so called initial claims number in 15 years let’s go back to January 2000 and compare the employment to population percent from then to now.

US

Jan 2000     64.6

Dec 2014      59.2

That’s a plummet of 5.4 percent!

NC

Jan 2000     65.1

Dec 2014      56.5

That’s a plummet of 8.6 percent !!!

So much for the improved economy and jobs situation.

I warned you we were in the age of Big Brother and “1984.”

.